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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.0 per game) this year.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to garner 3.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

When talking about air yards, Josh Jacobs ranks in the lowly 12th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.

Josh Jacobs's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.

Josh Jacobs has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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