Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 4.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 12.1% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-worst paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.94 seconds per snap.
Josh Jacobs has accrued a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile among running backs.
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 26.0) to RBs this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against running backs this year, surrendering 4.50 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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