Josh Jacobs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 29, 2026 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to notch 14.5 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Out of all running backs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 90th percentile for carries since the start of last season, making up 58.6% of the workload in his team's run game.
The Panthers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

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