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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • At the present time, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.
  • In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projections to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.0 carries.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Packers as the 7th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • After comprising 81.5% of his offense's carries last season, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, currently making up just 58.9%.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Jacksonville's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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