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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to total 20.6 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (77.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 6th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.8% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At a hefty 30.07 seconds per play, the Green Bay Packers offense has been the 4th-most sluggish paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Minnesota's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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