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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Las Vegas Raiders
Carries
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:41 AM UTC
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Carries

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Favors Over
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 128.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the model to finish in the 97th percentile among running backs with 19.1 carries.
  • Josh Jacobs has garnered 77.7% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • In regards to blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league last year.
Favors Under
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 39.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
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