Josh Jacobs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to notch 18.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has received 80.2% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 29th-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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