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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 12.0 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be a less important option in his team's running game this week (50.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (67.7% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

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