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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).

The projections expect Josh Downs to accumulate 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Josh Downs has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 20.1% this year, which ranks him in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

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