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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns

Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Colts have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.

The Indianapolis O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

With an excellent 51.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (75th percentile) this year, Josh Downs stands among the leading wide receivers in the game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Colts.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.0 per game) this year.

The Cleveland Browns defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 82.0) vs. wideouts this year.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (44.1%) vs. WRs this year (44.1%).

The Browns safeties project as the 8th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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