Josh Allen TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

TD Passes

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-121/+101).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Bills being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 53.9% red zone pass rate.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

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