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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

With an exceptional 67.8% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Allen places among the most accurate passers in the league.

Josh Allen has been among the top touchdown passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 1.72 per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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