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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Bills to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.

With a stellar ratio of 1.70 per game (82nd percentile), Josh Allen places among the top touchdown throwers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are predicted by the projections to run only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 53.9 per game on average).

When it comes to defensive tackles rushing the passer, Kansas City's group of DTs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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