Josh Allen Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 12, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects Josh Allen to notch 7.6 rush attempts in this game, on average: the most among all quarterbacks.
After making up 19.7% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Josh Allen has been called on more in the run game this season, now sitting at 27.2%.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to run on 40.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 52.5 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower rush volume.