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Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to total 7.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, comprising 20.4% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.The Titans defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's group of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.
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