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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Josh Allen is predicted by the projection model to garner the 6th-most carries out of all QBs with 6.3.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, comprising 22.8% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Josh Allen has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).

The Texans defense has produced the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, giving up just 3.77 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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