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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Josh Allen is projected by the model to total the 7th-most carries out of all QBs with 7.0.

Accounting for 25.0% of his team's carries this year (80th percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a serious threat on the ground.

Josh Allen has averaged 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to QBs (92nd percentile).

Josh Allen grades out as one of the best QBs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.57 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 79th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 101.0 per game) vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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