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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 48.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

In this game, Josh Allen is projected by the model to accrue the 3rd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 9.0.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 24.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

The Jets defense boasts the 10th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.45 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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