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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by our trusted projection set to earn the 5th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 6.6.

Comprising 23.7% of his team's carries this year (90th percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a dangerous threat with his legs.

With an exceptional record of 32.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the top running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

With a terrific tally of 2.32 yards-after-contact (76th percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the top running QBs in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to run on 38.6% of their chances: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 53.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 90.0 per game) vs. the Lions defense this year.

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