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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects Josh Allen to garner 6.0 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, making up 21.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to QBs.

With an impressive rate of 2.16 yards-after-contact (77th percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the leading rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

This year, the anemic Rams run defense has been gouged for a whopping 144.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills rank as the 10th-least run-focused team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 37.9% run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have only 126.8 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 54.2 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Josh Allen has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).

More Josh Allen Player Props

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