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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 47.2% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

In this contest, Josh Allen is expected by the projection model to accumulate the 5th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 6.4.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 22.5% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.

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