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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Josh Allen is expected by the projection model to accrue the 6th-most carries among all QBs with 5.8.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 21.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 9th-least run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.8% run rate.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are predicted by the projections to run only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 53.9 per game on average).

Josh Allen has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).

This year, the anemic Chiefs run defense has yielded a massive 3.69 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 30th-worst rate in football.

More Josh Allen Player Props

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