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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.

The predictive model expects Josh Allen to garner 5.2 carries in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

Accounting for 20.1% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (84th percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility marks him as a significant threat in the run game.

This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts run defense has been gouged for a staggering 146.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 9th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.9% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

Josh Allen's 24.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his running skills over last season's 32.0 mark.

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