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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing Yards
Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM EST
NFL Props Josh Allen Rushing Yards

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to earn 7.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
  • Josh Allen has averaged 45.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among quarterbacks (92nd percentile).
  • Josh Allen has been among the top QBs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 3.05 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • Josh Allen's running effectiveness has declined this season, totaling just 4.44 yards-per-carry vs a 7.24 rate last season.
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