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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The predictive model expects Josh Allen to accumulate 7.3 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

While Josh Allen has garnered 20.2% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's running game this week at 27.2%.

This year, the feeble New York Jets run defense has yielded a monstrous 135.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 6th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills to be the 4th-least run-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 32.0% run rate.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 55.6 per game on average).

The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

Josh Allen has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).

More Josh Allen Player Props

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