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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing Yards
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 8, 2023 6:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Allen Rushing Yards

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to accrue 7.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (29.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.8% in games he has played).
  • Josh Allen has run for quite a few more yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).
Favors Under
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.1 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
  • The New England Patriots defense boasts the 4th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.15 yards-per-carry.
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