Josh Allen Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 247.5 (-111/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 252.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 247.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Allen's 238.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a significant growth in his passing proficiency over last season's 211.0 figure.
Josh Allen rates as one of the most effective passers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Bills being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Josh Allen to throw 32.8 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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