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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Passing Yards
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills · Week 10, 2025 Updated Nov 10, 2025 1:07 AM EST
NFL Props Josh Allen Passing Yards

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 239.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 234.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Allen's passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.7% to 70.5%.
  • Josh Allen grades out as one of the most efficient QBs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dolphins defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Miami defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league this year with their pass rush.
Favors Under
  • With a 8-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.2% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 121.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 30.8 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
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