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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 240.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 239.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an impressive 8.18 adjusted yards-per-target (87th percentile) this year, Josh Allen stands as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Miami's LB corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 122.6 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.

The model projects Josh Allen to attempt 31.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

More Josh Allen Player Props

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