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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 205.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 218.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 205.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Allen rates as one of the most effective QBs in football this year, averaging an exceptional 7.72 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 77th percentile.

The Tennessee cornerbacks rank as the 7th-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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