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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Josh Allen's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.3% to 70.5%.

With a terrific 8.53 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Josh Allen ranks among the most efficient QBs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.

Josh Allen's 216.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a remarkable drop-off in his passing talent over last year's 261.0 rate.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 4th-fewest yards in the league (just 176.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Texans defense this year.

The Texans defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.92 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-fewest in the league.

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