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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 257.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 261.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bills as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's contest, Josh Allen is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.3.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 6th-most in football.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 53.8 per game on average).

Josh Allen's 236.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season reflects an impressive regression in his throwing talent over last season's 261.0 mark.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (64.2% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the strong Lions defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a mere 7.0 yards.

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