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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Passing Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 17, 2022 Updated Jan 3, 2023 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Josh Allen Passing Yards

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 263.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 240.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 263.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Josh Allen has been among the best passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 274.0 yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
  • Josh Allen has been among the most efficient passers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 7.66 yards-per-target while ranking in the 78th percentile.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to attempt 38.9 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.66 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.
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