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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 16

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to attempt 31.0 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

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