Josh Allen Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Pass Attempts

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.46 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to attempt 40.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

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