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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bills as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Josh Allen is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.3.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 53.8 per game on average).
  • Josh Allen has averaged just 0.36 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.
  • The Detroit Lions have intercepted 1.08 balls per game this year, grading out as the 4th-best defense in football by this statistic.
  • The Lions safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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