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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Josh Allen has attempted 37.3 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Josh Allen has averaged 1.03 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among QBs.
  • The Washington Commanders have intercepted 0.54 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst defense in the NFL by this metric
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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