Josh Allen Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Interceptions

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 69.2% pass rate.
Josh Allen has attempted 36.9 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in football.
Josh Allen has averaged 0.93 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.36 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-worst defense in football by this statistic

Favors Under

The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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