Josh Allen Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Interceptions

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -161 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Josh Allen to throw 37.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.
Josh Allen has registered 1.11 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 6th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
Dallas's defense grades out as the 8th-best in football this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, averaging 0.95 per game.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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