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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Interceptions
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.9% pass rate.
  • In totaling a staggering 37.7 pass attempts per game this year, Josh Allen rates among the top QBs in football (84th percentile) in this respect.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • In totaling a monstrous 0.99 interceptions per game this year, Josh Allen ranks among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (13th percentile).
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Denver's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, grading out as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: fewest in football.

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