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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

With an exceptional 67.8% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Allen places among the most accurate passers in the league.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Miami cornerbacks project as the 6th-worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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