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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.3% pass rate.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

This year, the anemic Indianapolis Colts defense has given up a monstrous 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Indianapolis's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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