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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Completions
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Josh Allen has attempted 37.3 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile among quarterbacks.

Josh Allen's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 64.2% to 77.2%.

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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