Josh Allen Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+101/-126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is implied by the Bills being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 45.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Josh Allen is expected by the projection model to total the most carries among all quarterbacks with 7.4.
Josh Allen isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, taking on 24.1% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's DT corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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