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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to run on 47.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) usually cause worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

The projections expect Josh Allen to accrue 6.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 6th-most among all QBs.

Taking on 20.1% of his offense's carries this year (82nd percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility marks him as a significant weapon as a ball-carrier.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 51.4 per game on average).

More Josh Allen Player Props

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