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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this contest, Josh Allen is predicted by the projection model to garner the 6th-most carries out of all QBs with 6.3.
  • Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, comprising 22.8% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • The Texans safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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