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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Josh Allen is projected by the model to total the 7th-most carries out of all QBs with 7.0.
  • Accounting for 25.0% of his team's carries this year (80th percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a serious threat on the ground.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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