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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Josh Allen is expected by the projection model to accrue the 6th-most carries among all QBs with 5.8.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 21.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 9th-least run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.8% run rate.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are predicted by the projections to run only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 53.9 per game on average).

When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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