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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Josh Allen is anticipated by the projections to garner the 6th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.1.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Josh Allen has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (18.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (27.2%).

As it relates to run support (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

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