Josh Allen Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this game, Josh Allen is anticipated by the projections to garner the 6th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.1.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The model projects the Bills to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Josh Allen has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (18.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (27.2%).
As it relates to run support (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

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