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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to notch 6.1 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 4th-most among all QBs.

While Josh Allen has received 17.2% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's running game in this week's contest at 23.2%.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tampa Bay's DE corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 32.3% run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

When talking about run support (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.

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